I’m mad, too, because the geniuses running Ellen’s website are apparently surprised by the sharp increase in traffic as Ellen approaches the finish. So the website, other than the opening page, is down. The sponsor has got to love that.
Luckily, however, I received the e-mail version of her Day 69 report, which I’ll pass on almost in its entirety in case you also can’t navigate her website. She’s 918 miles ahead, which her team calculates as a 2 day 12 hour advantage. Here’s the report:
* SOLO RECORD DEMANDING FULL VERSE AND CHAPTER from MacArthur as the final stages of her solo, non-stop round the world record unfold. She has had endure a night of little to no wind as boat speeds rarely topped 1 knot [1 nautical mile per hour, 1.15 mph, 1.85 km/h] of speed for a six hour period and then, this weekend, she will possibly have to face a northerly gale gusting up to 40 knots with very rough seas. As expected, B&Q’s lead has fallen to 2 days and 15 hours this morning [200 miles north of the Azores and 735 miles west of Vigo, Portugal], losing 11 hours in the last 24 hour period as <> only managed 154 miles of distance towards the finish. <> has now sailed 26,288 miles at an average speed of 16.1 knots and there are 946 miles left on the clock requiring an average VMG [Velocity Made Good towards the finish] of 7.9 knots, current VMG at 0710gmt this morning is 7.1 knots. The early part of the night offered MacArthur no reprieve and sleep became impossible as the total lack of wind meant the autopilot alarms were constantly going off – unable to hold on as the wind data goes round in circles and lack of boat speed means no steerage left – leaving MacArthur evenly more deeply fatigued and seething with frustration [a bruised fist and broken mp3 player resulted!]. This solo attempt is demanding everything from her and the 75ft multihull <>. If they can hold it together they have a good chance of reaching the finish line off Ushant by Tuesday. But as Mike Golding’s spectacular finish to his solo Vendée Globe race has proven [he lost his keel 40 miles from the finish in Les Sables d’Olonne] – it isn’t over, until its over…
* IS MACARTHUR’S LEAD ENOUGH TO GET HER THROUGH? Yes, definitely, if she can get into the stronger wind soon. The latest boat data for 0800gmt shows wind speeds nudging over five knots suggesting she might be already seeing signs of new breeze ahead of schedule, as the forecast is for very light 5 knots to develop from the north from 1200gmt today. There are three distinct weather phases for MacArthur to get through to the finish line off Ushant: phase 1 – clear the light winds of the high pressure some time today to get into fresher breeze from the north; phase 2 – survive a northerly gale over the weekend delivering 30-35 knots of breeze, gusts of 40, and very, very rough seas – potentially boat-breaking conditions and extreme conditions for MacArthur; phase 3 – hook into more favourable south-east winds off north-west Spain to reach [wind at 90 degrees ie side on to the boat] to the finish line, although some weather files show this becoming very light as Ushant approaches. Latest routing shows that as the northerly breeze kicks in, <> tack will tack on to port to head east towards Cape Finisterre, north west tip of Spain, before tacking back on to starboard as the breeze veers into the south-east to head for Ushant. Once in a more stable weather system of low pressure [albeit a gale!], the prediction of when MacArthur is expected to arrive, technical issues aside, can be made with greater confidence. But for now the best guess for her arrival is Tuesday…
Hmm. Wonder what she was listening to when the MP3 player met its end? Or maybe she had just received the following weather report from Commanders Weather. It’s both ugly (boat-breaking conditions ahead) and promising (if she survives the weekend intact she’ll have good finishing conditions):
Still very slow going for Ellen next 6-12 hours as she negotiates a small cell of high pressure not far away. But a much bigger high pressure system now in the central Atlantic near 51n 40w will be building eastward over the next 1-2 days. By midday Sat expect the center of the high to be centered near 52n 29w.
Initially this high will begin to freshen Ellen’s winds slightly late Friday afternoon or evening up towards 10 kts. By daybreak Sat speeds likely in the 15-20 kt range and by Saturday evening likely 25-30 kts with stronger gusts. The wind direction for the most part will be northerly so Ellen will have to play it tight to the wind to get home.
There likely will be one last period of gale force winds overnight Saturday night into early Sunday as the wind gradient strengthens between the big high and developing low pressure near Cape Finisterre. Winds likely will gust utoward 40 kts and seas will be building to 15-20 feet. This will be a very rough period for Ellen.
But diminishing winds Sunday and clocking to E-SE by Monday should allow Ellen to have a more comfortable finish to her long journey.
Wind forecasts
Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, time is UTC
Fri, Feb 4
09: 320-340/ 4-7
12: 320-340/ 4-8, near 42 n/25 w Bubble high just to your W
18: 320-340/ 6-10
Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy, maybe a brief, squally shower or 2
Sat, Feb 5 – BECOMING VERY ROUGH LATE DAY AND NIGHT
00: 350-010/10-15
06: 360-020/15-20
12: 350-010/20-25, near 44N/20 W
18: 340-360/25-32
Cloudy to partly cloudy – squally showers likely with gusts to 40 kts overnight
Seas building to 12-18 feet at night.
Sun, Feb 6 – VERY ROUGH
00: 350-010/26-34, gust 40
06: 360-020/24-32, gust 40
12: 010-030/24-32, gust 35, near 45 N/13 W
Want to be up near or north of 45 if possible
18: 030-050/22-30 g 35
Lots of clouds and more squally showers likely – gusts to 35-40 kts likely
Seas 16-22 feet but subsiding pm/night.
It’s going to take all Ellen’s skill and intuition to decide how hard to drive her fatiguing tri through the rough weather. It would be tragic to break down now. But it would also be tragic to nurse the boat only to miss out on the record by a few hours…

“Damn, I hope this boat is put together a bit better than that MP3 player. I didn’t even put any weight into that punch…”